The "should win/will win" story in the days leading up to an awards show has become a staple for critics. We ran one ourselves on Saturday from national critics predicting who would and who should take home Emmy Awards in the major categories and then had our own Alan Pergament weigh in on Monday.
How did Pergament do? In the seven categories he tried to predict, he knew who would win in five of them and in the two he missed - comedy actors - he said Julia Louis-Dreyfus of "Veep" and Jim Pasons of "The Big Bang Theory" should win. And they did.
Best Comedy Series: Nominees “The Big Bang Theory,” “Louie,” “Modern Family,” “Orange is the New Black,” “Silicon Valley” and “Veep.”
Should win: “Silicon Valley,” my favorite new HBO comedy. It is much funnier than HBO’s “Veep.” I understand “Louie” is a trendy pick and got a lot of support from my colleagues, but its humor can be too subtle.
Will win: “Modern Family,” which remained consistently funny in a season highlighted by the gay wedding of Mitchell (Jesse Tyler Ferguson) and Cameron (Eric Stonestreet).
Did win: "Modern Family"
Best Drama Series: “Breaking Bad,” “Downton Abbey,” “Game of Thrones,” “House of Cards,” “True Detective.”
Should win: “Breaking Bad,” which had one of the best series finales ever. That should be enough to hold off “True Detective,” the HBO series that had a much less praised finale.
Will win: I would be stunned if “Bad” doesn’t win.
Did win: "Breaking Bad"
Miniseries: “American Horror Story: Coven,” “Bonnie & Clyde,” “Fargo,” “Luther,” “Treme” and “The White Queen.”
Should win: “Fargo,” which managed to make some people forget about the movie.
Will win: I’m not going against the grain on this one. “Fargo” will win. If there is an upset, it will be an “American Horror Story” in more ways than one.
Did win: Fargo
Drama/best actress: Lizzy Caplan (“Masters of Sex”), Claire Danes (“Homeland”), Michelle Dockery (“Downton Abbey”), Julianna Margulies (“The Good Wife”), Kerry Washington (“Scandal”) and Robin Wright (“House of Cards”).
Should win: Margulies, in a great “Good” year that incredibly didn’t include an Emmy nomination for best drama.
Will win: I know Wright is a popular choice, but I’m going with Margulies in an upset just because it would make me feel “Good.”
Did win: Margulies
Drama/Best Actor: Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad”), Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom”), Jon Hamm (“Mad Men”), Woody Harrelson (“True Detective”), Matthew McConaughey (“True Detective”) and Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards”).
Should win: Cranston, who already won a Tony in June for playing Lyndon Baines Johnson on Broadway.
Will win: Cranston gets the honor in a very “Bad” year over McConaughey, who already won an Oscar this year.
Did win: Cranston
Comedy/Best Actress: Lena Dunham (“Girls”), “Edie Falco (“Nurse Jackie”), Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep”), Melissa McCarthy (“Mike & Molly”) and Taylor Schilling (“Orange is the New Black”).
Should win: Louis-Dreyfus. Without her, “Veep” is nothing.
Will win: Schilling. There always is an Emmy surprise, and just maybe the voters are tired of giving Louis-Dreyfus awards and will decide to reward a Netflix star.
Did win: Louis-Dreyfus
Comedy/Best Actor: Louis C.K. (“Louie”), Don Cheadle (“House of Lies”), Ricky Gervais (“Derek”), William H. Macy (“Shameless”), Jim Parsons (“Big Bang Theory”).
Should win: I have no clue in this category. The weekly audience for Parson’s show is higher than the weekly audience for the four other nominees combined. So I guess he should win again.
Will win: Louis C.K. A total guess. But his show deserves something.
Did win: Parsons